Fed
Federal Reserve Interest Rates
Topic
53.7%
Accuracy
Recent Predictions
Incorrect: 19
Pending: 253
Prediction
Author
Predicted at
Status
Video
The Federal Reserve is predicted to cut interest rates only once in 2026.
"especially with the Fed only expected to cut rates once in 2026."
Feb 3, 2026
Pending
Speaker predicts a high probability that the Federal Reserve will pause interest rate hikes the week following the video's publication date (2026-01-22).
"And there's a high probability that the Federal Reserve is going to pause, but the market wants them..."
Jan 22, 2026
Pending
Federal Reserve interest rates are predicted to remain unchanged for January 2026.
"I don't expect there to be any change in January either."
Jan 12, 2026
Pending
Jerome Powell is predicted to not cut interest rates to the extent demanded by Trump.
"Jerome Pal will not cut rates to the degree that Trump has demanded."
Jan 12, 2026
Pending
Jerome Powell is predicted not to cut interest rates to the extent demanded by Trump.
"Jerome Pal will not cut rates to the degree that Trump has demanded."
Jan 12, 2026
Pending
Federal Reserve expected to cut rates once in 2026 and once in 2027, bringing the Fed funds rate to 3%.
"the Fed expects to cut one more time in 2026 one more time in 2027 and that should bring the Fed fun..."
Dec 27, 2025
Pending
Predicted that the Federal Reserve will implement only one interest rate cut in 2026.
"there's only one rate cut forecasted for 2026"
Dec 14, 2025
Pending
Predicted that Federal Reserve interest rates are expected to go to 3.75% on December 11, 2025.
"As you see, they're we're currently at 4%. They're expected to go to 3.75%."
Dec 10, 2025
Correct
Predicted an 85.7% probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates on December 11, 2025.
"As of right now, there's an 85.7% probability that the Federal Reserve is going to be cutting intere..."
Dec 10, 2025
Correct
Predicted the Federal Reserve will not aggressively cut interest rates in 2026.
"they don't intend to aggressively cut rates in 2026"
Dec 10, 2025
Pending
Predicted Federal Reserve to implement one rate cut in 2026.
"One rate cut is scheduled for all of 2026."
Dec 10, 2025
Pending
Predicted the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 25 basis points on December 11, 2025, which would be the third rate cut of 2025.
"There is now a 94% chance that the Fed will cut interest rates on Wednesday per poly market, the thi..."
Dec 9, 2025
Correct
Easy predicts the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 25 basis points.
"We're expecting 25 basis points."
Dec 8, 2025
Pending
Easy predicts the Federal Reserve will make a decision to cut interest rates.
"Are we going to see a Fed rate cut decision? I believe so."
Dec 8, 2025
Pending
Predicted a quarter point interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve on December 10, 2025.
"December 10th, right, this Wednesday is when uh the next rate announcement is going to happen. Right..."
Dec 8, 2025
Correct
The Federal Reserve is very likely to implement two or three more interest rate cuts.
"very likely, the Fed need to do two or three more cuts to truly bring rates down low enough for the ..."
Dec 7, 2025
Pending
Two or three more Federal Reserve rate cuts are expected by mid-June 2026.
"Two or three more cuts likely puts us out in the middle of June or so next year."
Dec 7, 2025
Pending
Predicted a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve next week (by Dec 10, 2025).
"25 points cut down to 350 to 375. So, looks like that's going to come through."
Dec 5, 2025
Correct
Predicted an 84% probability that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates on December 10, 2025.
"There's an 84% probability according to the Fed rate monitor tool that in 6 days, which is December ..."
Dec 4, 2025
Correct
Predicted that the Federal Reserve is likely to cut interest rates on December 10th.
"we're one week away, December 10th, from the FOMC rate decision where there is a very high probabili..."
Dec 3, 2025
Incorrect
The Federal Reserve will implement a surprise interest rate cut at its December meeting.
"my analysis shows a surprise rate cut is coming."
Nov 24, 2025
Pending
The Federal Reserve is predicted to decrease interest rates by 25 basis points on December 10th.
"I think that we're going to get the 25 bit decrease um on December 10th. Previously, this was a lot ..."
Nov 24, 2025
Pending
Federal Reserve is more likely to pause interest rates in December than to cut them.
"But as of right now, there's a much higher probability that the Federal Reserve is going to pause th..."
Nov 18, 2025
Pending
The Federal Reserve is predicted to pause interest rate changes at its next meeting.
"as of right now, the Federal Reserve is expected to pause in the next meeting"
Nov 18, 2025
Pending
The Federal Reserve is predicted to cut interest rates in December (2025) and continue cutting in 2026; if no December cut, an early 2026 cut is expected.
"I still think they're going to cut in December. ... Uh they will cut in December. They will also con..."
Nov 18, 2025
Pending
The Federal Reserve is predicted to implement interest rate cuts in December 2025.
"I think we will get rate cuts in December because I think the government shutdown is pretty much ove..."
Nov 10, 2025
Pending
The Federal Reserve is likely to implement another interest rate cut in December 2025 (with a 70% market probability).
"We're going to have another rate cut more than likely in December... right now there's a 70% chance ..."
Nov 4, 2025
Pending
The Federal Reserve will decide in their December meeting whether to cut interest rates again.
"And at that meeting in December, they're going to decide whether to cut interest rates again or not."
Oct 29, 2025
Correct
Federal Reserve predicted to implement an interest rate cut on the upcoming Wednesday.
"We're getting another rate cut on Wednesday."
Oct 27, 2025
Pending
The Federal Reserve is predicted to cut interest rates by 25 basis points this week.
"And there is a very high probability that the Federal Reserve is going to be cutting interest rates ..."
Oct 27, 2025
Pending
The Federal Reserve will cut interest rates this week (of Oct 27, 2025) and at least once more by the end of 2025.
"there's no reason that the Federal Reserve will not cut this week and also probably at least one mor..."
Oct 27, 2025
Incorrect
Poly Market predicts a 98% chance of an interest rate cut happening in October (specifically, the week after the video's publication in Oct 2025).
"Poly Market...Puts odds at 98% chance we see an October cut next week."
Oct 24, 2025
Incorrect
There is a 96.3% chance the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 0.25% at the December meeting, following a likely cut in the next meeting.
"It's pretty much a given that the Federal Reserve is going to cut interest rates by a quarter point ..."
Oct 24, 2025
Incorrect
The Federal Reserve is predicted to be more willing to cut interest rates because inflation is not rising as quickly as expected.
"The Federal Reserve is more likely based off of if they agree with that expectation to be more willi..."
Oct 24, 2025
Pending
The Federal Reserve is almost guaranteed to cut interest rates next week (late October 2025).
"And we got the Fed interest rates cuts almost guaranteed coming next week."
Oct 24, 2025
Pending
The Federal Reserve is predicted to cut interest rates by 0.25% at their next meeting on October 29th.
"The Federal Reserve is still most likely going to cut interest rates at their next meeting next week..."
Oct 24, 2025
Incorrect
Federal Reserve interest rate cuts are expected to occur next week (late October/early November 2025).
"the Fed rate cuts next week."
Oct 23, 2025
Pending
There is a 97.8% probability that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates on October 29th.
"According to the CME Fed Watch tool, there's a 97.8% chance that the Federal Reserve will cut intere..."
Oct 16, 2025
Correct
There is a 92.8% chance the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 0.25% on December 10th.
"There's a 92.8% 8% chance that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 0.25% on December 10th..."
Oct 16, 2025
Incorrect
The Federal Reserve is predicted to cut interest rates by 0.25% on October 29th and another 0.25% in December, lowering the Fed funds rate to 3.75%.
"they're going to cut interest rates by 0.25% on October 29th. And then they're going to cut interest..."
Oct 16, 2025
Incorrect
The Federal Reserve is expected to continue cutting interest rates throughout 2026.
"it is widely expected that the Federal Reserve is just going to continue to cut interest rates in 20..."
Oct 6, 2025
Pending
Due to significant job losses in the private sector (32,000 in September, the largest decline in 2.5 years) and the government shutdown impacting official reports, the Federal Reserve is expected to continue cutting interest rates. They cut rates in September and are highly likely to cut again in October and December.
"The official jobs report by the government was supposed to be released on Friday, October 3rd. Howev..."
Oct 6, 2025
Incorrect
There is an 86.3% chance of another interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve on December 10th. If both October and December cuts occur, the Fed Funds rate will drop from 4.25% to 3.75%.
"Now, the meeting after October 29th, it's going to take place on December 10th, and there's an 86.3%..."
Oct 6, 2025
Incorrect
The government shutdown and the resulting delay in the official jobs report, coupled with negative ADP jobs report data for September (loss of 32,000 jobs), is forcing the Federal Reserve to continue cutting interest rates.
"The official jobs report by the government was supposed to be released on Friday, October 3rd. Howev..."
Oct 6, 2025
Incorrect
There is a 96.2% probability that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 0.25% at their October 29th meeting, lowering the Fed Funds rate to 4.0%. This is a positive indicator for investors in stocks, precious metals, and crypto, as easier monetary policy is expected to boost asset prices.
"So, they cut interest rates in September and they're most likely going to cut interest rates this mo..."
Oct 6, 2025
Incorrect
The Federal Reserve is likely to cut interest rates further at its October 29th meeting.
"that isn't likely to keep the Fed from lowering interest rates further when it meets on October 29th..."
Oct 6, 2025
Pending
The Federal Reserve is predicted to implement interest rate cuts in October 2025 and December 2025.
"They both look like rate cuts are incoming for both those months"
Sep 22, 2025
Pending
If Trump replaces Powell in 2026, the Federal Reserve will likely aggressively cut interest rates in 2026.
"But what does that mean for us in 2026 when he replaces Powell, chair of the Federal Reserve? It mea..."
Sep 22, 2025
Pending
In 2026, a change in Federal Reserve leadership could lead to more aggressive interest rate cuts, resulting in cheaper debt, higher valuations, increased money supply, and potentially worse inflation, benefiting the financially savvy while impoverishing others.
"So, if that happens in 2026, then we can start to see more aggressive interest rate cuts in 2026, wh..."
Sep 19, 2025
Pending
President Trump is pushing for more aggressive interest rate cuts in 2026.
"And on top of that, President Trump wants to see more aggressive interest rate cuts in 2026."
Sep 19, 2025
Pending